'I Should Start Voting'. Right after we saw the results of the election and that Trump had lost, we were all like, what the hell?, said Tammy, a bartender at Wee Willys Sports Pub in Marblehead. He said hes had trouble getting a job for much of his life, because he was found guilty of a felony drug offense as a young man. Since picking the winning candidate in Democrat Lyndon Baines Johnson in 1964, it has deviated from the winner only twice. She sees the economy, trade, China, and the Middle East peace deal as top issues. Martin plans to turn up at the polling booth on Election Day. Logistics are a nightmare, Miller said. Both Hidalgo and Valencia County, New Mexico, are close to 60 percent Hispanic, while Westmoreland County in Virginia is almost one-third black. Soon, he lost his union membership because he had no money to pay the dues. And we just want that to continue. Its education level is a little lower25 percent have a bachelors degree or higher, compared to, nationally. I think all politicians are crooks. Since he became a Christian in the mid-1990s, he said hes used his moral compass to determine his vote. Theyre scared. Today, there are also 14,183 independents registered to vote and five libertarians, according to the Ottawa Countys Board of Elections website. And the media is just taking it overboard., Shepherd said of Trump: I do know that he is not a selfish person. He says hes going to vote for the lesser of two evils.. He doesnt seem like a really bad guy. Jacobs believes theres more enthusiasm for Trump now than before the 2016 electionin Elk County and around the country. In economics, a 'bellwether' is a leading indicator of an economic trend. But not only are bellwethers not really predictors of future success, the likelihood of finding long streaks of prior predictive success has gone down. They see it as just a show, but I think he is for America. Why is belief in the existence of bellwether states and counties (especially the latter) so strong? And just a few miles outside the countys urban center of Terre Haute, youll find a sprawl of soybean and corn farms, with a rural demographic that often leans Republican. Its going to affect trucking, farming, everything. While the Royal Drive In has been in the family for 60 years and serves a steady stream of local regulars, Martin says she wont recover until at least next summer, when she can get an extra boost, especially from traveling Canadiansas long as the border is open. Of the 19 bellwether counties that have consistently voted for the presidential winner since 1980, all but one chose Trump, the Journal found, PJ Media reported. We use cookies to understand how you use our site and to improve your experience. In addition to seeing a 25 percent increase in fuel costs in the past year, the company has resorted to buying used trucks instead of new ones when it needs them. Of the 17 bellwether counties the margin of win by President Trump was 16 points on average! Visual inspection suggests that, like other counties, they voted in 2020 roughly as they did in 2016; given this (and given that many of these counties went solidly for Trump in 2016), it is unsurprising that Biden won only one of them. And then you have the Biden folks that are like, This is just nutty,' he said. "The Wall Street Journal and The Epoch Times independently analyzed the results of 19 counties around the United States that have nearly perfect presidential voting records over the last 40 years. Since its founding in 1853 it has only got 13 out of the 37 extant elections right. What happened to our Democratic Party? In 2020, Vigo went for Trump by nearly 15 points, roughly the same as in 2016. Before the 2020 election, Clallam was one of 19 counties with an unbroken record of voting for the winning presidential candidate since 1980. Delaware's Kent County last missed in 1992. The ones he lost went to Biden by a margin of about 4 points on average. There were lines of boaters with banners and flagsthere mustve been about 2,000 boats full of people participating, Tammy added. Jacobs said she absolutely intends to vote in person on Nov. 3. Sam said he has noticed that the farmers arent happy, and their kids have to take a side job in the factory because of the economic situation. We want to get people off of welfare, we need to get people back into working again, being self sustainable. To accept cookies, click continue. He said hes concerned but hopeful for the future. Hes an elitist and just couldnt keep his mouth shut. Thats probably the biggest fear right now when I talk to people. But its still anyones game when taking into account the 1.2 million unaffiliated or other-party voters and the roughly 70 percent voter turnout. Ottawa County in Ohio has been on target every four years since 1964, and Bexar County in Texas (San Antonio) has had only one miss since 1928 (preferring the Democrat Hubert Humphrey in 1968). We are a rural county here, Hill told The Epoch Times. Note: This article gives the views of the author, and not the position of USAPP American Politics and Policy, nor the London School of Economics. They can try all they can to prevent whatever they want to prevent, but nature is going to run its course, no matter what, Tisdell said. Trump swiped 51 of them by an average margin of nearly 15 points. Our politicians need to look on both sides of the fence and work together. But theyre happy with that and theyre proud of what they created. They are not even the regular masks to filter it out. In both of the missteps, the residents wrongly picked the losing Democrat: Williams Jennings Bryan over President William Taft in 1908 and Adlai Stevenson over President Dwight Eisenhower in 1952. Wolf has allowed for the counting of ballots to continue for three days after Nov. 3, meaning its unlikely that a winner will be called in Pennsylvania for at least a week after the election. Global Trade Policy Challenges: preparing for the next decade, Creative Commons Attribution-NonCommercial 3.0 Unported. . Weve always had a mix of voters, Baumgardner added. However, the political viewpoints of its residents are mixed as they have become more wary and leery of the government. At least Biden is honest, he said. Its gone, Jacobs said. When gas went up that time, our sales went down to zero, Zulch said. His message to Trump is: Shut up and quit twittering. In 2020 the expansion also began generating $898,000 a year for the next 15 years for Lake Local Schools. . Just like a hurricane, you can try to prepare for it the best you can, but you never know what kind of damage it is going to cause. I cant lead that kind of lifestyle.. Myers works as an electrician and long supported the Democratic Party along with his union. Portman wont be seeking reelection; seven Republicans are competing in the primary election for the partys nomination: Matt Dolan, Mike Gibbons, Josh Mandel, Neil Patel, Mark Pukita, Jane Timken, and J.D. For the first time in as long as she can remember, since becoming a registered voter 35 years ago, all three county commissioners are Republicans. I think we needed somebody like him.. An Emerson poll conducted shortly before Election Day was completely off, showing Trump and Biden neck and neck. This year, after seeing the country shut down amid the pandemic, and seeing riots break out in many cities, I just think its time that I should start voting, she said. We use cookies to understand how you use our site and to improve your experience. Richard Zulch, an Army veteran who served in Vietnam as a combat engineer from 1969 through 1971 and is the quartermaster for Veterans of Foreign Wars Post 4811 in Bowling Green, said he has been able to see the political landscape from both sides of the fence. By continuing to use our site, you accept our use of cookies, revised Privacy Policy and Terms of Use. On . There is another bellwether list of 58 counties that has correctly picked each president since 2000. The Princeton political scientist, Edward Tufte opens his 1975 co-authored article on bellwethers with: Prior to the 1936 presidential election, the conventional political wisdom had it that as Maine voted, so went the rest of the nation. Its horrible. In the southern area just off Interstate 75 sits Bowling Green, the county seat and home of Bowling Green State University and Doyt L. Perry Stadium, where the Falcons draw large crowds in the Mid-American Conference. In 2016, Pennsylvania itself was wrenched out of its 24-year run as a Democratic sure bet when Donald Trump cleared just over 44,000 more votes than Hillary Clinton and took the states prized 20 electoral votes. He cares about the American people.. dionisia pacquiao net worth; leer un archivo excel en sql server; alix pasquet iii relationship; american gold eagle type 1 vs type 2; sniper spotting scope; Hes organizing a Second Amendment rally in Ridgway for Oct. 17 to make sure gun rights are fresh in peoples minds when they head to the ballot box. Theres too much mishandling, she said. This includes personalizing content and advertising. The county is more white than the rest of the nationabout, nationally, according to census data. Data de l'entrada martin county clerk of court jobs; whats wrong secretary kim dramawiki . SACRAMENTO . One major planned project in Wood County pulled outPeloton, an exercise bike and interactive exercise equipment manufacturer. Copyright 2000 - 2023 The Epoch Times Association Inc. All Rights Reserved. Over the past nearly 40 years, presidential elections have observed an intriguing phenomenon: 19 counties in the nation have always voted for the winner, be it Republican or Democrat. Bellwethers arent a crystal balltheir streak was expected to end sooner or later. A former Republican stronghold, Wood County supported GOP candidates Gerald Ford in 1976, and Donald Trump in 2020. Shepherds family, on the other hand, wasnt much interested in politics. Washington state's Clallam County was the outlier, backing Joe Biden in a state he won by more than 19 points. Were not going to be able to afford this Democratic regime. Its just stupid, she said. We use cookies to understand how you use our site and to improve your experience. He also intends to vote in personto ensure his vote is counted that day, although he used a mail-in ballot to vote in the primary. Tisdell wanted to find out for himself, so he began to do his own research, reading mainstream news on both sides, as well as reports by independent citizen journalists. Nestled along Lake Erie in the northwest of. Those dollars wont be there, because people will be buying gas. But, he said, most mainstream politicians dont represent rural America, and issues such as boys that identify as girls and then compete in girls high school sports just smack of stupid., The economy and taxes are important issues to him, but the question he asks of the candidate is, Does this person care about my family?. Yet unofficial vote counts now show Biden in the lead and with enough electoral votes to claim the presidency. He also drives more than 40 miles from Marblehead to Wellington to pick up his truck. Shortages are all over the place, Miller said. The Epoch Times Thu, 19 Nov 2020 21:41 UTC In Terre Haute, 52-year-old Scott Hamilton said the main issue for him in this election is how divided the nation is; he said Trump is mostly to blame. Hawker said although Ottawa County tends to lean more Republican, he has noticed that a lot of senior citizens who are Democrats have moved into the area. Bobby Tisdell stands in front of his home in West Terre Haute, Vigo County, Ind., on Oct. 20, 2020. Half the people are just wearing rags on top of their face. That streak, which extended back to when the county supported Harry Truman became president ended in the 2020 Presidential Election when the Donald Trump won the county. The county is more white than the rest of the nationabout 87 percent, compared to 76 percent nationally, according to census data. And then theres Vigo Countyin Indianathe quintessential bellwether that has correctly picked the winner in all but two elections since 1888. My opinion is thats just what it is, Shepherd said of COVID-19. Rural white America is principally Trump, and they are ripe for conspiracy theories. Martin thinks the Democrats could have chosen a better candidate than Biden. By continuing to use our site, you accept our use of cookies, revised Privacy Policy and Terms of Use. Thats part of what has made it an effective bellwether, at least in recent decades, he said. He was working on his neighbors lawn when he paused to talk to The Epoch Times. By continuing to use our site, you accept our use of cookies, revised Privacy Policy and Terms of Use. Sam, who is a truck driver for Four City Technologies in Wellington but lives in Marblehead, said he drives about 400 miles a day to deliver bolts, nuts, and screws used in the auto industry. I just think theres going to be a lot of problems if he doesnt become our president all the violence and the riots. President Trump won every single bellwether county, except Clallam County in Washington. I think Trump was the better president, said Beggs, who worked for the city for 45 years. Its difficult to have a conversation nowadays without really stirring up emotions, and thats probably my main issue, Hamilton told The Epoch Times as he stood in downtown Terre Haute. For Tisdell, the two major issues that weigh on his mind this year are the riots and the pandemic. Figure 1 Counties expected to have unbroken or near unbroken string of correct matches with national election outcome if each county has a 50 percent chance of voting for the winner. The insulting back and forth really bothers me about any candidate, Myers said. Peloton plans to complete construction on the building on its 200-acre property and sell it, but will downsize its workforce. Instead of guns and bullets, hes bringing our troops home, hes ending wars. First, we can readily imagine that some counties demographically/politically mirror the nation, and thus monitoring this small set of counties closely would tell us with high predictive reliability what will happen nationally. Epoch Times: "Bellwether Counties Went Overwhelmingly for Trump in 2020" Find UFOs, The Apocalypse, New World Order, Political Analysis, Alternative Health, Armageddon, Conspiracies, Prophecies, Spirituality, Home Schooling, Home Mortgages and more, in: Rumor Mill News Reading Room, Current Archive Hes probably the best candidate out there for whats going on in our country right now, Martin said. We need jobs up here, good-paying full-time jobs, she added. We use cookies on this site to understand how you use our content, and to give you the best browsing experience.
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