and play-by-play data provided by Sports Info Solutions. Here's how WBC offenses stack up with MLB's best, Scherzer tries to test pitch clock limits, gets balk, Jays 'playing it safe' after Guerrero tweaks knee, PitchCom-tipping: Loud device leaks Twins calls, Eflin's first start after $40M deal impresses Rays, Rangers' Leclerc to miss WBC with neck injury, Rockies' Rodgers may need surgery, '23 at risk, Rojas to withdraw from WBC, stay with Dodgers. Theres a good chance no pitcher will again crack the 300-win plateau, a mark that has been achieved 24 times throughout the sports history. Now, Adam Wainwright at any age, while once one of the best pitchers in the sport, never put a season quite that good. Adam Wainwright Position: Pitcher Bats: Right Throws: Right 6-7 , 230lb (201cm, 104kg) Team: St. Louis Cardinals (majors) More bio, uniform, draft, salary info 3x All-Star 2006 World Series 2x Gold Glove Silver Slugger 60 50 Become a Stathead & surf this site ad-free. But is 40-year-old Adam Wainwright starting for the visiting Cardinals against the Dodgers in the winner-take-all tilt also on his way to joining Scherzer in the Hall of Fame? Astros @ Cardinals. 132-72, 3.34 ERA, 2,005 strikeouts, 124 adjusted ERA. It is possible that he ends up as one of those players who hangs around the ballot for his decade of eligibility, getting a boost because of his time in St. Loius, but the only way he ends up in Cooperstown will be with a ticket. This year, however, the biggest stars of Opening Day will be three players in Cardinals jerseys who all have legitimate shots of someday being in baseball's Hall of Fame themselves. If he can maintain this kind of dominance for a few more years, hell get to Cooperstown. Still, his 2.60 ERA is his lowest since 2017, and his strikeout rate is a solid 29.8%. Even if he retired now, Verlander has likely done enough to ensure a plaque in Cooperstown. Write some stories about it! Wainwright said. Eleven of the sixty-five are below Wainwright in terms of Hybrid JAWS. Adam Wainwright. Adam Wainwright has a big decision to make this offseason. What would Adam Wainwright need to do in 2022 to deserve Hall of Fame induction? The ageless Bartolo Colon leads all active pitchers with 235, CC Sabathia is next at 230, and then its down to John Lackey at 180. The 40-year-old right-hander became the ninth active pitcher with 2,000. Im not sure its a good idea for Wainwright to proceed with his WBC plans, but the Cardinals wont stop him from going. He was traded to St. Louis in 2003 from the Braves in a deal that saw outfielder J.D. Adam Wainwright, however, is a little bit trickier. But Adam Wainwright's story also isn't complete. He had one brother, Trey, who was seven years his senior. Major League and Minor League Baseball data provided by Major League Baseball. Information from The Associated Press was used in this report. Well know more about Jacks Comeback after he makes his first two or three pitching appearances in the Florida game. That being said, the question I had is what a retirement for Adam Wainwright . Laurie Skrivan, St, Louis Post-Dispatch Here's a look at some other top Cardinals not in the Hall of Fame. Upon losing in the Wild Card round, the franchise's attention shifted to the offseason and what will happen to some of their aging players. For this dispatch, Ill first turn my attention to the pitchers, then backtrack to cover a handful of others position players and pitchers in a more lightning-round fashion. But he didnt become a full-time starter until his age-24 season, and hes now pitched for a quarter of the American League teams. Assuming he pitches in 2022, a year in which I am assuming Major League Baseball will indeed be played, which he has already announced will be his last, Wainwrights first round of Hall of Fame votes would not even be revealed until 2028. Wainwright was between 38 and 40 years old in this stretch. Hes even seen somewhat of a career resurgence after struggling from 2014-2015, he rebounded to lead the AL in strikeouts in 16. And I finally reached the point where I just ignored the spin and started to interpret the lack of candor as a possible warning sign. While Albert Pujols and Yadier Molina are already committed to retirement, what becomes of star pitcher Adam Wainwright remains a question for St. Louis fans. After doing some [strength] assessments, its something he can solve. Of course, theres no prorating stats when it comes to evaluating Hall of Fame candidates, and so Wainwright appeared to be in the company of the likes of Roy Oswalt Wainwrights most similar pitcher per Baseball-Reference.com Cliff Lee and former teammate Chris Carpenter as pitchers who had terrific peaks but lacked the length for serious Cooperstown consideration. The greatest lineups ever? His draft stock suggests he has the ability to be a top-tier pitcher, but as of now, hes not on a Cooperstown track. Fantasy baseball: Which prospects have fantasy value in 2023? It hasnt moved him very far in the JAWS rankings, but hes nonetheless seventh among active pitchers behind Greinke, the injured Justin Verlander (60.8), Kershaw, Scherzer, and two other pitchers whove effectively taken zeroes in 2020 and 21, Cole Hamels (48.4) and Flix Hernndez (44.3). That seems to be a pretty good baseline.. Bumgarner has thrown 36 career innings in the World Series and allowed one earned run. The pandemic-shortened 2020 campaign, in which Wainwright went 5-3 with a 3.15 ERA in 10 starts, amounted to a fourth lost season for the right-hander, who missed all of 2011 recovering from Tommy John surgery and made just seven appearances (four starts) due to a torn Achilles in 2015 before he was limited to eight starts by right elbow inflammation in 2018. St. Louis Cardinals starting pitcher Adam Wainwright (50) sits in the dugout during the second inning of a baseball game between the Cardinals and the Pirates on Thursday, April, 7, 2022, at. Listen to the Seeing Red podcast on the Cardinals, featuring Will Leitch and Miklasz. Albert Pujols is, barring something unforseen, going to easily sail into the National Baseball Hall of FameI always feel the need to add a caveat since uncodified steroid accusations have already kept one of the few modern hitters unreservedly superior to Pujols out of the Hall of Fame, though seeing David Ortiz make it does give me hope that Albert Pujols being a nice guy that everyone in baseball media seems to like would provide sufficient cushion to whatever random conjecture somebody wants to throw out into the discourse. Flaherty insists hes feeling great this spring. The performance was unsurprisingly unsustainable. Adam's parents had a rocky marriage, and they split up when he was around seven years old. 141-80, 3.23 ERA, 1,547 strikeouts, 124 adjusted ERA. . Only Clemens, Johnson, Carlton and Greg Maddux are the only pitchers who have won more. But if youd told me four years ago when his career looked absolutely left for dead that I would even half-heartedly entertain the notion, I would have doubted that even more. It just was not the type of career that was worthy of the Hall of Fame. His induction was most likely heavily influenced by his passing, but I think sets the bar for what a pitcher needs to have accomplished in recent years. At least hes in better shape than 31-year-old Freddie Freeman (41.8/32.1/37.0, +1.5 JAWS), who only recently surpassed last years 3.3 WAR. I highly doubt it. The Cardinals looked like one of the best teams in the National League throughout the 2022 regular season, finishing with a record of 93-69, winning the NL Central Division in the process. Can Adam Wainwright join St. Louis Cardinals teammates in Hall of Fame? I am a big fan, not as a universal absolute but as a general guideline, of the Jay Jaffe JAWS system, a thing I have mentioned repeatedly in my writing, though I also prefer to use a hybrid model which incorporates a players career performance and his seven best individual seasons (his peak) as measured not only by Baseball Reference but by FanGraphs (in most non-catcher cases, over the course of a career, this doesnt make a huge difference, but in the most discussed cases, the margins are so thin that I am happy to look at as much data as possible). For now, all eyes are on Flaherty and Wainwright. St. Louis Cardinals pitcher Adam Wainwright joins Scott Braun, Erik Kratz, Todd Frazier, and AJ Pierzynski to talk about his final season and the legacy he's. Arizona Diamondbacks. Heres what Bowden wrote: Mozeliak was cautious in his comments and reminded me that the right-hander threw only 36 innings last year. Adam Wainwright is the quintessential "Hall of Fame candidate for Cardinals fans" Hall of Fame candidate of the current team. As his 136 OPS+ and 26 homers attest, he can still rake even at age 40, but with 443 career dingers, hes two seasons away from reaching 500 (42% odds, via ZiPS). Were just giving him a little extra time in between appearances to rebound from his first time out. 82-53, 2.99 ERA, 1,380 strikeouts, 138 adjusted ERA. Hes got a long ways to go to reach 200 wins (he has 112), but hes already at 2,031 strikeouts. Throughout his career, Wainwright has won a World Series and has been selected to the All-Star game three times. He is known for being a Baseball Player. Perhaps (I would argue this is more likely) a new narrative arc would emergeWainwright, say, grits through physical pain to guide the Cardinals to the 2022 World Series and enters a level of folklore which allows voters to look optimistically upon his borderline statistical case (see: Ortiz, David). Wainwright is a Hall of Fame person, and a very good pitcher. For a five-year span from 2007-2011, CC Sabathia was regarded as one of the elite pitchers in the game, and he took three different teams to the postseason, winning a ring with the 2009 Yankees. Or follow @seeingredpod on Twitter for a direct link. To be clear, Adam Wainwright will certainly make it onto the Baseball Hall of Fame ballot, and based on the ease with which even seemingly fringe candidates are able to garner them, will probably get some votes. Required fields are marked *. Price (155 wins) is the only active pitcher within 30 wins of Wainwright, with Cueto (135) and Bumgarner (127) much further behind. Just to be clear, its not an injury deal; its about him not syncing his body up correctly, and he didnt feel like he was getting the leg drive he typically gets, Cardinals manager Oli Marmol said. King Felix is still just 31 years old, despite close to 2,500 innings on his right arm. Jim Bowden (The Athletic) was at Cardinal camp earlier this week and asked president of baseball operations John Mozeliak about Flahertys status. By either that mark or traditional reliever JAWS, the 33-year-old Kimbrel is the biggest gainer this year. What a career Adam Wainwright and Yadier Molina have shared together! But in evaluating Wainwright by the standards of the modern starting pitchers, he has a path albeit a narrow one that requires him to sustain his late-30s rebirth for at least one and possibly two more seasons that seemed impossible when he was in the midst of an extended sunset phase late in the 2010s. They cited various ailments that impacted Wainos performance. But, while neither was young, per se, by baseball standards (it was deGroms age-30 season and Scherzers age-33), there is a big leap to get to Adam Wainwrights age-40 season which looms ahead. I found His 133 OPS+ is a step down from his 201218 prime (146), but his .493 SLG is his best since leaving Arizona. Has Adam Wainwright done enough to deserve a place in the Hall of Fame? Hernandez also holds the distinction of having been the last MLB pitcher to throw a perfect game (2012). Hes never pitched for a World Series champion, and his career postseason statistics wont help him hes 2-8 with a 5.54 ERA, and hes gotten completely shelled on multiple occasions. By Hybrid JAWS, Adam Wainwright is, currently, the 118th greatest starting pitcher in Major League Baseball history. The just-turned-40-year-old is currently in the midst of a late-career renaissance (2.97 ERA, 3.1 WAR), leaving many to wonder. But until we see Jack pitching in games against opposing hitters in game conditions down there in Florida and recovering on time to do it again, and again, and again Ill have to take the wait-and-see approach. {* traditionalSignIn_signInButton *}, Comment and participate in our online community. Im going to disregard them for now, though all five should (and all but Sabathia probably will) make it eventually. Wainwright, 40, who has played for the Cardinals since reaching the majors in 2005, is a three-time All-Star and twice led the National League in wins (2009 and 2013). Please logout and login again. Wainwrights candidacy as an elite pitcher of his time should strengthen during the five years between his retirement and his first appearance on a Hall of Fame ballot. Adam Wainwright 141-80, 3.23 ERA, 1,547 strikeouts, 124 adjusted ERA 3x All-Star, 2 Gold Gloves, 2 rings Injuries have plagued Adam Wainwright more than the other pitchers on this list; he's going to be 36 in a few months and he's logged just 1,800 innings due to Tommy John surgery (2011) and an Achilles tendon rupture (2015). Updated: Friday, March 3, 2023 11:11 PM ET, Park Factors Josh Donaldson, third base (43.8 career | 41.2 Peak | 42.5 JAWS, +1.5 JAWS). . Greinke has won an ERA title in each league. Wainwright was a three time All Star and two time Gold Glove winner, finishing in the top three of the NL Cy Young vote four times. He founded the Futility Infielder website (2001), was a columnist for Baseball Prospectus (2005-2012) and a contributing writer for Sports Illustrated (2012-2018). DRS changes, injuries, and the shortened season have dealt the slugging third basemans case a set of blows in recent years, making it even harder to overcome his late start. When the Washington Nationals took Stephen Strasburg first overall in the 2009 draft, he was one of the most hyped prospects in the games history. Adam Wainwright on Baseball Reference.. Will the games most enigmatic Hall of Fame candidate, a pending free agent this winter, stick around to get it? Leg and glute stiffness that limited his leg drive, the aftereffect of recent back spasms, and a torn finger blister. Actually, it's two starting pitchers: Jack Flaherty and Adam Wainwright. In that piece, I highlighted 10 position players, some of whom have gained significant ground via JAWS, others who reached major milestones or simply returned to productivity after injury-plagued stretches. Build your customFanSided Daily email newsletter with news and analysis onSt. Louis Cardinals and all your favorite sports teams, TV shows, and more. Strasburgs 2.86 FIP suggests hes outperformed his 3.18 ERA, and his strikeout rate has been stellar. Don't miss out - sign up for our newsletters! Wainwright had won nine of 10 decisions coming in. He went 119-66 with a 2.96 ERA from 2007-15, a span in which only Kershaw had a lower ERA among pitchers with at least 1,000 innings pitched. None. But is it a Hall of Fame caliber career? Sorry we could not verify that email address. This year he was so good that he accrued 5.1 WAR (including 0.6 on the offensive side) in his 15 starts before going down, his fourth-highest total. In the five innings Wainwright yielded eight hits and four earned runs for a 7.20 ERA. All stats used here were sourced from FanGraphs, Baseball Reference, Stathead, Bill James Online, Fielding Bible, Baseball Prospectus, Baseball Savant, Brooks Baseball Net and Spotrac. Mike Trout, center field (76.2 career | 65.1 Peak | 70.6 JAWS, +0.5 JAWS). The two were teammates from 2005-07, and Rolen was out at third base when Wainwright recorded the final out of the 2006 World Series for the St. Louis Cardinals.. An Alternate Hall of Fame populated by a mathematical formula. ago. I took a look at 10 active starting pitchers with borderline Hall of Fame resumes and broke down their odds of enshrinement. Wainos going to do that whether hes here or not, and thats a trust thing that Im not concerned with.. Its available on your preferred podcast platform. Godspeed, Waino. Interestingly enough, he missed the entire 2011 season for the world champion St. Louis Cardinals, but he did play an integral role as a closer in the 2006 playoffs, throwing 9.2 scoreless innings in the playoffs. It is possible that the same will be the case for a third Cardinals legend. Gibson got his 2,000th strikeout when Pittsburghs Roberto Clemente was called out on July 13, 1969. Ad Choices No Cy's (albeit 4 top 3 finishes). Now his current difficulties are being downplayed because the leg/glute tightness, the back spasms, the finger. by Retrosheet. Adam Wainwright K's McCormick. He went 17-7 with 174 strikeouts and a 3.05 ERA in 32 starts spanning 206 1/3 innings the third-highest total in the majors. While these numbers are impressive, they may not be enough to convince voters that Adam Wainwright is a Hall of Famer. . Hall of Very Good. Wainwright is a Hall of Fame person, and a very good pitcher. Guerrero was seen walking toward the clubhouse with an athletic trainer in the second inning and was replaced defensively by Rainer Nunez to start the third. I try to stay out of it as much as possible.. It goes something like this . He was the first pitcher aged 39 or older since Mike Mussina in 2008 to throw at least 200 innings with an ERA+ of 125 or better. 1:09 | September 14, 2022 St. Louis Cardinals analyst Brad Thompson joins Blair and Barker to talk about whether Adam Wainwright deserves a nod into the Baseball Hall of Fame, stating you. Hes certainly on pace for the Hall, but a lot of it will depend on how he can rebound following his off-the-field motorcycle accident. Jansens 30 saves have pushed him to 14th on the all-time list, five away from the next rung and 26 away from cracking the top 10. The three Cy Young Awards should be enough to get him into the Hall of Fame. No Gavin Lux -- big problem. The veteran right-hander is the last remaining . Sale went two years and a day between major league outings due to elbow inflammation, a flexor tendon strain, and Tommy John surgery, but hes made a solid return so far, with a 2.53 ERA and 27.9% strikeout rate through four starts. Those skills may eventually result in a spot in the Hall of Fame. Its Wainwrights final MLB season before retirement, and (mostly) anything goes. Hes made two starts this spring, covering five total innings. Adam Wainwright biography. Its early in spring training. Click to share on Facebook (Opens in new window), Click to share on Twitter (Opens in new window), Click to share on Flipboard (Opens in new window), Click to share on Reddit (Opens in new window), Click to email a link to a friend (Opens in new window). I wouldnt expect Wainwright to be at his best at this stage. If you or someone you know has a gambling problem, call 1-800-GAMBLER. Jacob deGrom and Max Scherzer just had seasons that good in 2018. A frequently cited statistic for determining Hall worthiness is the average production of a Hall of Famer at that position, though my preferred approach is to consider a players worthiness not according to the average at a position among a subset of players who are sometimes transcendent and sometimes unworthy, but rather to ask, Is this guy the (fill in ordinal number of Hall of Famers at position) best (fill in position) ever? By Hybrid JAWS, Yadier Molina is the 13th greatest catcher of all-time (two of the ones ahead of him, Buster Posey and Joe Mauer, are not yet Hall-eligible), and there are sixteen catchers in the Hall of Fame. Yadier Molinas career FanGraphs WAR shot up 18.4 wins in one day, The 2022 St. Louis Cardinals and the next generational passage St. Louis Bullpen. Adam Wainwright Future Hall of Fame Candidates: N.L. 230-143, 3.70 ERA, 2,788 strikeouts, 117 adjusted ERA. The key number regarding Gooden is 48.0, which is the average of his career bWAR, his bWAR7, his career fWAR, and his fWAR7. But at least it wont be historically egregious. The Cardinals and starting pitching and injuries. Or could it be that a lot of this is happening because Wainwright is 41 years old and headed to his 42nd birthday on Aug. 30? 122-66, 3.24 ERA, 1,621 strikeouts, 123 adjusted ERA. Scherzer and Hernandez are among a group of pitchers at somewhat similar points in their potential Hall of Fame paths; Verlander, Cole Hamels, Zack Greinke, Adam Wainwright and Jon Lester are in . The 2022 campaign was supposed to be the last for Adam Wainwright as well, although he has left the door slightly open for a return next year. Hell get some work in between now and then, and hopefully that will get him on track. The two-time NL Cy Young winner began his season by reeling off one of the most amazing runs of any pitcher in recent memory, posting an 0.50 ERA and 0.87 FIP through his first 12 starts. This is a veteran, and he knows what he needs to do. Adam Wainwright is the greatest St. Louis Cardinals pitcher since Bob Gibson, and arguably the greatest St. Louis Cardinals pitcher in history other than Bob Gibson. SUMMARY 2022 Career WAR 1.8 46.7 W 11 195 L 12 117 ERA 3.71 3.38 G 32 457 GS Pitching to a 3.66 ERA and 4.45 FIP, hes produced a respectable 2.2 WAR, though hes still 0.6 points below the JAWS standard. Carlos Correa, Shortstop(32.7 Career WAR | 32.7 7-Year Peak WAR | 32.7 JAWS, +6.7 JAWS) Between some favorable changes to his DRS totals and an AL-leading 5.9 WAR (surpassed by Ohtani's two-way total of 7.7), the 26-year-old Correa has boosted his JAWS more than any position player. Yadier Molina, catcher (58.1 career fWAR (incl. MILWAUKEE -- Adam Wainwright joined Hall of Famer Bob Gibson as the only St. Louis Cardinals pitchers with 2,000 strikeouts, fanning Milwaukee's Luis Uras in the fourth inning Thursday. St. Louis Cardinals analyst Brad Thompson joins Blair and Barker to talk about whether Adam Wainwright deserves a nod into the Baseball Hall of Fame, stating you can make the case for the veteran pitcher although hes not a sure-fire candidate yet. His 195 career wins have him tied for 132nd all-time, and his career strikeouts currently have him sitting 71st all-time. Poll : Should Adam Wainwright be in the Hall of Fame? Both legends are heading off into the sunset, their final stop before they end up in Cooperstown in just a few short years. All WAR (and WPA) figures here refer to the Baseball Reference version, unless otherwise indicated. We use cookies to improve your experience. Even in the he falls short but not short enough to not make it hypothetical, the easiest path is likely for Adam Wainwright to post 8.1 WAR under both methods. Focusing on what hes better at: Scherzer is just 19 strikeouts away from 3,000 and should reach the milestone this month, surpassing the likes of Juan Marichal, Roy Halladay, and Bob Feller on the JAWS leaderboard. Despite dealing with shoulder soreness and some rough stretches, Greinke the active leader in JAWS has pitched an AL-high 159.2 innings, though he will probably get overtaken after landing on the COVID-19 IL on Tuesday.
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